There is a delay of about 30 years between “greenhouse gas” (GHG) emissions and actual global warming (cf. Karl Baumann, 2024: “Temperature rise shows ca. 30 years delay“), GHG emissions are still raising, and global warming is already accelerating – the “1.5°C limit” has always been merely a very rough estimate for the “corridor of life” or a “stable climate system” on planet Earth.


The self-reinforcing cycles are taking over: more wildfires, more GHG emissions, less soil and forests capturing GHG emissions, more temperature increase, and more wildfires (cf. the following graph).

After breaching the “1.5°C limit” for a “stable climate system” on our planet Earth – in about 3 years, sometime in 2029 – please expect exponential global warming (cf. Karl Baumann, 2024: “Temperature rise will be exponential“) and please acknowledge global warming, climate disruption, and the loss of biodiversity as already being out of human control (cf. Karl Baumann, 2025: “The new way to successful mitigation of global warming“).
picture shows photo (c) Stefan Rahmstorf from scene at the Lacanau Océan in France (July 24, 2026).